Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Should Firms Spend More On R&D And Advertising During Recessions?

Research made by Raji Srinivasan, Gary L. Lilien, & Shrihari Sridhar.
The abstract:

"Whenever a recession occurs, there is a heated dialog among marketing academics and practitioners about the appropriate levels of marketing spending. In this paper, we investigate when firms should spend more on R&D and advertising in recessions. We propose that the effects of changes in firms’ R&D and advertising spending in recessions on profits and stock returns are contingent on their market share, financial leverage and product-market profile (whether B2CGoods, B2BServices, B2BGoods, or B2CServices). We estimate the model using a panel of more than 10,000 firm-years of publicly listed US firms from 1969 to 2008 when there were seven recessions. Our results support the contingency approach. We compute the marginal effects, which show how the effects of changes in R&D and advertising spending in recessions vary across firms. The marginal effects provide evidence of inadequate spending (e.g., 98% of B2CGoods firms under-spend on R&D), proactivity (e.g., 96% of B2BServices firms are at about the right levels on advertising) and excess spending (e.g. 92% of B2CServices firms over- spend on advertising). Using our approach and publicly available data, managers can estimate the effects of their firms’ and competitors’ R&D and advertising spending on profits and stock returns in recessions."

Read the full paper by clicking here.
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Anatomy of a shopping spree: Pretty things make us buy more

With the holidays fast approaching and consumers in full shopping mode, new research shows a single luxury item purchase can lead to an unintended shopping spree. Read the full article from Science Daily by clicking here. Read the resarch paper by clicking here.o
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The Truth in Advertising

A classic, well worth watching while planning for 2011.

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Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Viewer Multi-Tasking Means More Online Searches For TV Advertisers


Commercials influence terms people use to search on websites, Fuqua study finds
Browsing the Internet while watching TV is a great way to kill time during commercial breaks, but are advertisers losing out if consumers surf while the commercials roll?
Not according to a researcher at Duke University's Fuqua School of Business, who found commercials influence the terms people use to search on websites like Google and Bing.
"Advertising on television changes what people search for. We use more branded keywords and fewer generic keywords," said Ken Wilbur, a marketing professor at Duke.
If a viewer is looking for a financial planner and sees a TV advertisement for Fidelity, he or she is more likely to search for a branded term such as "Fidelity" than for a generic term such as "financial planning." However, advertising doesn't increase the number of searches in a product category, nor does it make people more likely to click through on the results.
These findings come from a new mining-query technique developed by researchers to identify a set of branded and generic financial services. Brand names in this category are relatively unique, such as eTrade or Merrill Lynch. The team devised a method to sift through 35 million searches and identify those that included generic financial services keywords, as opposed to simply brand names.
The report, presented Dec. 8 at the Cross-platform and Multi-channel Consumer Behavior conference at the Wharton School of Business in Philadelphia, is available on the Social Sciences Research Network at http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1720713. Co-authors are Mingyu Joo, a doctoral student at Syracuse University's Whitman School of Management, and Yi Zhu, a doctoral student at the University of Southern California's Marshall School of Business.

According to a recent study by Nielsen and Yahoo!, three out of four Americans surf the web while they watch television and half of those do so every day.
"The news regarding consumers is we have this general inclination to search on a brand name whose TV ad we've seen recently," Wilbur said. "That limits our options. Generic search terms give us more information in the results.
"On the other hand, the biggest implication for marketers is they need to account for these effects when setting TV and search advertising budgets. Otherwise, companies will miss out. They will spend too much on search, and too little on TV."
The findings highlight the need for companies to integrate television and search advertising campaigns.
"Right now, most marketers have one agency for TV, and a different agency for online searches. They should seriously consider integrating those two functions," said Wilbur. "In elasticity terms, the effect of TV advertising on consumers' choice of branded keywords is about as large as its effect on sales."
Depending on the campaign, marketers could target their advertising budgets to the times when television advertisements appear. Wilbur even advises companies competing with a brand with extensive television advertising to buy search ads on the competing brand's keywords.
Additionally, television campaigns can be adjusted to maximize when advertising searches take place, the researchers say. This could include selecting networks, programs, markets and times of day to maximize impact on web usage.
"TV ads should be scheduled during or shortly before consumers search," Wilbur said. "This effect tends to dissipate in hours, not days." For example, people tend to search for financial services during standard business hours, but most financial services advertising is done at night.

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The happiness–income paradox revisited

The striking thing about the happiness–income paradox is that over the long-term —usually a period of 10 y or more—happiness does not increase as a country's income rises. Heretofore the evidence for this was limited to developed countries. This article presents evidence that the long term nil relationship between happiness and income holds also for a number of developing countries, the eastern European countries transitioning from socialism to capitalism, and an even wider sample of developed countries than previously studied. It also finds that in the short-term in all three groups of countries, happiness and income go together, i.e., happiness tends to fall in economic contractions and rise in expansions. Recent critiques of the paradox, claiming the time series relationship between happiness and income is positive, are the result either of a statistical artifact or a confusion of the short-term relationship with the long-term one. 


The above conclusions are drawn in a research paper by 
  • Richard A. Easterlin, 

  • Laura Angelescu McVey, 

  • Malgorzata Switek,

  • Onnicha Sawangfa, and 

  • Jacqueline Smith Zweig
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    Sunday, December 12, 2010

    Retail Tricks to Sell More

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    Saturday, December 11, 2010

    Ad Age: 10 Trends That Are Shaping Global Media Consumption

    1) Even relatively poor populations now consider TV a necessity.
    2) Despite the internet, we're watching more, not less.
    3) What is the world watching? Football, 'American Idol'-like contests and telenovelas.
    4) The U.S. and Western Europe are losing newspaper circulation, but the rest of the world is experiencing a newspapers boom.
    5) Here's why you need to keep an eye on Facebook.
    When it comes to time spent on the site, Facebook crushes all rivals, with six hours vs. less than half that time for every other site in the top 10.

    6) Cyber cafes are the entry for emerging market populations to get online.
    7) BRIC leads for online video consumption.
    8) Internet usage and penetration rates are hobbled by access costs. Mobile isn't.
    9) Netbooks, e-readers, tablets will drive growth of internet use.
    10) For the foreseeable future, the forecast for the planet's media habits is in a word, more.


    Read more by clicking here.o
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